Lessons Learned
Instead
of conducting a comprehensive predictive modelling approach to
potential climate change impacts in Mt. Assiniboine Park, a “multiple
lines of evidence” approach was used based on existing and recent
long-term global climate model scenario predictions and applied
professional judgments.
Improved resolution of future
climate trends can be achieved by incorporating a range of evolving
techniques, including: regional downscaling of GCM predictions,
elevation corrections, enhanced local baseline data using higher
resolution datasets, and trend analysis using statistical and
sensitivity testing.